USDCAD Post CPI Price Action, Feb 08
Arrow 1 marks the release of the Canadian CPI data. It also forms some significant price action. Notice how the initial push is lower but momentum on the downside fails and the move is almost completely retraced. This is significant because it shows that there is no demand for the CAD below this price. The subsequent candlesticks fail to create a lower low and momentum builds on the upside as shorts begin to liquidate. There is a squeeze through the high of 1.0051 (market on the chart) as momentum longs begin to enter the market. This squeeze is given more power by Canadian Wholesale Sales data that came out much worse than expected at -2.9% MoM. Arrow 2 indicates a test of our breakout point. Notice how this candlestick forms a similar pattern to the one indicated by arrow 1. This retrace tests the breakout that occurred in conjunction with Wholesale Sales data. There is no downside momentum and price accelerates higher along the path of least resistance. © www.passion-trading.com 2006-2008 |